Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-05-08 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 4–3 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 56.84%1.76odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.961%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%56.86%56.85%58.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.93%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 43.16%2.32odd justa
EV +0.556%
Vantagem +0.239%
Kelly +0.418%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.48%43.14%43.15%45.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.242.3347.62%44.72%44.64%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 56.84%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 43.16%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.556%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.556%E +0.239%K +0.418%G +0.002%2.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +0.556%E +0.239%K +0.418%G +0.002%3.2%2026-05-08 23:09
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 16:18
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.17%E -0.511%K -0.907%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.17%E -0.511%K -0.907%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 16:20
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 19:54
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.23%E -1.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.03%E -0.896%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 23:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.46%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 06:30
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 18:44
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 23:39
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:29
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 21:44
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 04:34
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.19%E -1.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:39
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 10:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 02:39
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 10:10
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:03
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 05:24
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 06:28
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 11:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 23:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 05:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-08 23:39
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-08 20:09
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-08 23:39
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-08 23:39
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-08 23:39
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-05-08 23:30