Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 48.71%2.05fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.74%48.61%48.72%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.972.0253.48%50.90%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 51.29%1.95fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.39%51.28%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.841.851.9158.14%54.38%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 48.71%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 51.29%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.71%E -4.89%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 01:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 21:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -10.76%E -6.19%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -11.28%E -6.52%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.79%E -6.85%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 19:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-05 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.17%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 21:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.17%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 23:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.38% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.62% | -0.1% | 2026-05-05 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-05 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 1.6% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.6% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50% | 9.1% | 2026-05-05 23:40 |