L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 23:41 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 5–3 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 48.71%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.791%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.74%48.61%48.72%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.961.972.0253.48%50.90%50.76%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.29%1.95cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.39%51.28%53.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.841.851.9158.14%54.38%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 21:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 21:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.20%E -4.58%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:15
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -1.60%E -0.791%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.71%E -4.89%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 21:15
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 19:10
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 23:35
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.56%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 23:30
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 23:40
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 23:40
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 19:14
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 01:24
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 20:25
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 19:10
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:40
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 21:38
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 23:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 23:40
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.66%E -3.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 14:40
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 23:40
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -10.76%E -6.19%K -14.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 23:40
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -11.28%E -6.52%K -15.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 23:40
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:25
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -11.79%E -6.85%K -16.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 23:40
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 21:35
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 19:08
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 23:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 19:10
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 22:25
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 22:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 19:10
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 19:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 23:40
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.17%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 21:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:54
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 19:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 19:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:15
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.17%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 23:40
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 23:26
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 48.38%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.62%-0.1%2026-05-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-05 23:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-05 19:05
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-05 19:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-05-05 23:40
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.1%2026-05-05 23:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-05-05 23:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%9.1%2026-05-05 23:40