Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-26 23:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 46.02%2.17fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.41%46.09%46.05%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.072.062.1551.55%48.36%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 53.98%1.85fair odd
EV -0.134%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.158%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.91%53.95%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.771.8559.52%56.49%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.02%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 53.98%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.852. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.850, with an expected value of -0.134%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.06%E -0.493%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.06%E -0.493%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.37%E -1.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 01:10
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.52%E -0.711%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.98%E -0.930%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.98%E -0.930%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 19:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-26 01:00
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 20:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.82%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.134%E -0.072%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.37%E -1.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 02:08
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:30
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 01:00
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:40
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:44
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.20%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.20%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.20%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 19:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 01:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 20:43
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:00
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.75%E -0.963%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 01:00
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.58%E -3.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 00:59
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.37%E -1.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.31%E -5.54%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.15%E -4.16%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.72%E -5.53%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.31%E -5.54%K -13.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-09-25 23:15
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-25 22:50
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 01:20
ProphetX◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%1.3%2026-09-26 01:00
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-09-26 01:00
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%11.4%2026-09-26 01:00