Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

2026-09-26 23:10 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 46.02%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.493%
Kelly -0.922%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.41%46.09%46.05%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.072.062.1551.55%48.36%48.54%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.98%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.134%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.158%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.91%53.95%54.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.771.771.8559.52%56.49%56.50%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 46.02% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 53.98%. Pour Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.852. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.850, pour une espérance de -0.134% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.06%E -0.493%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.06%E -0.493%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.37%E -1.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 01:10
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.52%E -0.711%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.98%E -0.930%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.98%E -0.930%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 19:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-26 01:00
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 20:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 19:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 21:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:55
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.82%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.134%E -0.072%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-26 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.37%E -1.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 02:08
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 00:30
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 01:00
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:40
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.74%E -2.29%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:44
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.20%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.20%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.20%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:50
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 01:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 19:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.52%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 01:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 20:43
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:00
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.75%E -0.963%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 01:00
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.58%E -3.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 00:59
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.37%E -1.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.31%E -5.54%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.88%E -4.49%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.15%E -4.16%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.72%E -5.53%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.31%E -5.54%K -13.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-09-25 23:15
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-25 22:50
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-26 01:20
ProphetX◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-09-26 02:30
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%9.5%2026-09-26 01:00
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%11.4%2026-09-26 01:00