Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-05-04 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 6–2 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 51.80%1.93odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.557%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%51.90%51.70%53.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.841.831.9156.18%54.47%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 48.20%2.07odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.579%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.72%48.10%48.30%48.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.17%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 51.80%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 48.20%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.91, com valor esperado de -1.06%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.06%E -0.557%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:09
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:14
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:14
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:15
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 22:39
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:18
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 23:28
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 18:44
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.19%E -0.579%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 21:34
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 23:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.97%E -3.61%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:38
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.49%E -3.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 16:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:14
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 23:28
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.80%E -4.38%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 23:39
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-04 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-04 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-05-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-04 23:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-04 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10%1.4%2026-05-04 23:39
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-05-04 23:39