La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-05-04 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 6–2 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 51.80%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.557%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%51.90%51.70%53.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.841.831.9156.18%54.47%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 48.20%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.72%48.10%48.30%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.17%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.06%E -0.557%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:19
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:10
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:09
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:14
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:14
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:15
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 22:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:18
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:08
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 23:28
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 18:44
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 16:25
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 23:29
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 23:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.19%E -0.579%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 16:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 21:34
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:29
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 23:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.97%E -3.61%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:38
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.49%E -3.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:59
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 16:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:14
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 23:28
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.80%E -4.38%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 23:39
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-04 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-04 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-05-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-04 23:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-04 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10%1.4%2026-05-04 23:39
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-05-04 23:39