La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.06%E -0.557%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-04 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-04 22:09 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-04 22:14 |
| BetUS | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-04 22:14 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-04 22:15 |
| ReBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 22:39 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 21:18 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-04 23:28 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 23:30 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 18:44 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 18:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.19%E -0.579%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 21:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.97%E -3.61%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 22:38 |
| FanDuel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.49%E -3.34%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 21:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 16:09 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:28 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.80%E -4.38%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-04 13:45 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-04 23:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50% | 0.1% | 2026-05-04 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10% | 1.4% | 2026-05-04 23:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-05-04 23:39 |