مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kansas City Royals v Cleveland Guardians

البداية: 2026-05-04 23:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kansas City Royals 6–2 Cleveland Guardians

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kansas City Royals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.80%1.93السعر العادل
EV -1.06%
الأفضلية -0.557%
Kelly -1.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.05%51.90%51.70%53.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.841.831.9156.18%54.47%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cleveland Guardians (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.20%2.07السعر العادل
EV -1.19%
الأفضلية -0.579%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.72%48.10%48.30%48.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.931.992.002.0551.81%50.17%50.00%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.06%E -0.557%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:19
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:10
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:09
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:14
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:14
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.58%E -0.833%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 22:15
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 22:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:18
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:08
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.14%E -1.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 23:28
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 23:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 18:44
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 16:25
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:29
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 18:40
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.17%E -2.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 23:29
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 23:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -1.19%E -0.579%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 16:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 21:34
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 16:25
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:29
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 23:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.97%E -3.61%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:38
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.67%E -0.818%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.49%E -3.34%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 22:00
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:59
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 21:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.63%E -1.30%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 16:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 23:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 22:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:14
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 23:28
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.80%E -4.38%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-04 23:39
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-04 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-04 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-05-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-04 23:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-04 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-04 22:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10%1.4%2026-05-04 23:39
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-05-04 23:39