Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 18:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 1–9 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 44.21%2.26fair odd
EV +0.365%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.287%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.24%44.30%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2750.00%46.35%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 55.79%1.79fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.76%55.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.7561.35%58.54%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 44.21%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 55.79%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.365%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.365%E +0.161%K +0.287%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-24 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.961%E -0.429%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.961%E -0.429%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-24 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.961%E -0.429%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-24 18:10
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.961%E -0.429%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-24 17:50
Everygame🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.40%E -0.629%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-24 17:56
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.85%E -0.831%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-24 17:43
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.85%E -0.831%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.05%E -2.35%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 17:55
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 17:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 18:09
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.84%E -4.09%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.95%E -4.82%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 15:49
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 15:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:10
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.06%E -1.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.05%E -2.35%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 15:39
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.06%E -1.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.50%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.93%E -1.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 17:20
Caesars🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.50%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.93%E -1.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 15:49
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.50%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 18:00
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.50%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.93%E -1.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.93%E -1.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.35%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.35%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 18:09
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 16:10
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 15:45
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 17:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.84%E -4.09%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.38%E -2.52%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.84%E -4.09%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.82%E -2.73%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.05%E -2.35%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.27%E -2.96%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.93%E -1.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.27%E -2.96%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.05%E -2.35%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 17:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.27%E -2.96%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.15%E -3.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 14:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 14:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.15%E -3.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.61%E -2.69%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.04%E -3.86%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.04%E -3.86%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.84%E -4.09%K -10.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 17:41
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.36%E -4.57%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 15:45
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.36%E -4.57%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:05
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.36%E -4.57%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.36%E -4.57%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.16%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.57%E -5.79%K -11.57%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.07%E -5.56%K -14.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-24 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%-0.1%2026-09-24 18:09
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%0.2%2026-09-24 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-24 18:10
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-24 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-09-24 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-09-24 18:10
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-24 17:20
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-09-24 18:10
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-09-24 18:10
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 43.80%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.20%11.9%2026-09-24 18:10