Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago White Sox

2026-09-24 18:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 46.44%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.153%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%46.35%46.48%47.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.55%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 53.56%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.11%53.65%53.52%54.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.771.8259.52%56.64%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Royals (Local): 46.44%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 53.56%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.153. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.150, con un valor esperado de -0.153%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.153%E -0.071%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-24 07:36
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -0.153%E -0.071%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 07:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 06:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 06:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 06:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 06:35
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 06:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 06:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.55%E -0.729%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 06:40
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 03:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 06:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 03:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 03:30
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 06:40
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 03:30
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 03:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 06:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 06:40
Caesars🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.87%E -1.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 03:34
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 03:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 03:45
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 04:09
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 07:24
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 06:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 03:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 06:25
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 03:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 06:04
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 03:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 03:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 05:20
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.81%E -3.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 07:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 06:09
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 04:50
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.02%E -5.96%K -14.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 03:45
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 07:54
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 03:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 07:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.13%E -2.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 07:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.20%E -2.94%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 04:48
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.59%E -2.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.66%E -2.62%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 04:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 03:44
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.27%E -3.58%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 03:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-24 04:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.52%E -1.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.98%E -4.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.88%E -4.58%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-24 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-24 06:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%0.9%2026-09-24 07:55
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-24 06:35
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-09-24 07:15
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-09-24 07:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-24 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-24 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-09-24 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-09-24 07:35
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%3.6%2026-09-24 07:50