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Kansas City Royals v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.07%45.49%45.33%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1950.00%47.59%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd
EV -0.051%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.062%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.51%54.67%55.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.93%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 45.38%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 54.62%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.831. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.830, with an expected value of -0.051%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-19 23:37 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.06%E -0.488%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 23:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.52%E -0.700%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.52%E -0.700%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.52%E -0.700%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 23:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 23:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.597%E -0.328%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -6.06%E -2.93%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -0.051%E -0.028%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.51%E -3.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 23:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20% | 0.1% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 08:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-05-19 23:39 |