La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-05-19 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 1–7 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 45.38%2.20momio equitativo
EV -0.611%
Ventaja -0.279%
Kelly -0.513%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.07%45.49%45.33%46.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1950.00%47.59%47.62%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 54.62%1.83momio equitativo
EV -0.051%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.02%54.51%54.67%55.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.93%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 23:37
Everygame2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-19 23:39
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 23:39
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.611%E -0.279%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-19 23:39
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.06%E -0.488%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:28
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.52%E -0.700%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 23:29
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.52%E -0.700%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-19 23:29
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.52%E -0.700%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:39
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 21:40
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:28
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 23:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 20:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 23:39
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.88%E -1.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 23:39
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.597%E -0.328%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-19 22:59
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 23:19
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:39
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.79%E -1.79%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 11:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 23:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 23:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:29
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 23:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 23:39
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 23:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 22:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:29
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.70%E -2.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 23:19
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -6.06%E -2.93%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -0.051%E -0.028%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-19 21:10
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.51%E -3.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.87%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.14%E -0.632%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 21:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.97%E -2.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 23:39
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.51%E -3.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 23:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -7.42%E -3.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -1.69%E -0.939%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 21:10
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 21:10
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 21:10
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.33%E -4.12%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 21:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 23:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-19 23:39
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-05-19 23:39
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-19 08:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-19 12:10
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-05-19 23:39