Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%51.25%51.05%53.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.852.0057.47%53.82%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%48.75%48.95%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.941.932.0957.14%51.62%51.81%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 51.09%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 48.91%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +2.18%E +1.09%K +2.18%G +0.047% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.887%E -0.457%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-07 15:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-07 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-07 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 06:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 06:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.20%E -0.594%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-07 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 06:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 08:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 12:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 15:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 06:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +2.22%E +1.06%K +2.04%G +0.045% | 2.5% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-07 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.56%E -4.00%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 17:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.55%E -4.78%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -11.10%E -6.38%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |