Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-09-07 18:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 4–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 51.09%1.96odd justa
EV +2.18%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.67%51.25%51.05%53.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.861.852.0057.47%53.82%54.05%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 48.91%2.04odd justa
EV +2.22%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.68%48.75%48.95%53.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.941.932.0957.14%51.62%51.81%47.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 51.09%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 48.91%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.09, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +2.18%E +1.09%K +2.18%G +0.047%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -14.41%E -8.23%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:10
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.887%E -0.457%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-07 15:18
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-07 17:55
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 17:45
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:09
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 18:04
theScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -1.40%E -0.724%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 15:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 06:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 06:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 11:49
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.20%E -0.594%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.44%E -1.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.13%E -2.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 14:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.95%E -2.10%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 06:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 12:04
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.54%E -4.57%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.67%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.11%E -2.64%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 15:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 12:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 15:24
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 06:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 06:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.96%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 06:50
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +2.22%E +1.06%K +2.04%G +0.045%2.5%2026-09-07 18:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 14:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.18%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:10
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.16%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.02%E -3.86%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.53%E -4.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.56%E -4.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 17:58
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.04%E -4.47%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.55%E -4.78%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.59%E -6.05%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -11.10%E -6.38%K -15.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-09-07 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-07 18:00
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-07 18:10
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-07 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-09-07 18:05
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-09-07 18:10
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%4.7%2026-09-07 18:10