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Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd
EV -0.683%
Edge -0.329%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.39%47.66%47.78%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.0853.48%50.36%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.34%52.22%53.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.841.831.8956.50%54.40%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.75%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 52.25%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -0.683%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -0.683%E -0.329%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.64%E -0.795%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.81%E -1.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 14:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.24%E -0.658%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -2.81%E -1.51%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.86%E -2.10%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.51%E -4.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.98%E -2.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.41%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 13:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.71%E -5.73%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 14:51 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |