Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-09-09 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 5–2 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 47.75%2.09odd justa
EV -0.683%
Vantagem -0.329%
Kelly -0.633%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.39%47.66%47.78%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.992.002.0853.48%50.36%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 52.25%1.91odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.658%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.34%52.22%53.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.841.831.8956.50%54.40%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.75%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 52.25%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.08, com valor esperado de -0.683%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -0.683%E -0.329%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 14:04
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.64%E -0.795%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.81%E -1.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 16:25
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 14:01
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.12%E -1.03%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:55
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.24%E -0.658%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-09 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -2.81%E -1.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.86%E -2.10%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.51%E -4.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.98%E -2.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 15:50
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:04
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:04
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.90%E -2.69%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.41%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.38%E -2.39%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.29%E -1.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.77%E -0.940%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.71%E -5.73%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.42%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-09-09 14:51
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-09-09 15:20
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-09-09 16:05
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-09 13:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-09-09 15:10