Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

2026-08-01 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 45.90%2.18fair odd
EV -0.405%
Edge -0.187%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%45.83%45.83%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.082.1751.02%48.13%48.08%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 54.10%1.85fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.17%54.17%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.761.8259.52%56.86%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 45.90%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 54.10%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.17, with an expected value of -0.405%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.405%E -0.187%K -0.346%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:59
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.32%E -0.615%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 17:54
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.32%E -0.615%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%EV -1.78%E -0.833%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%EV -1.53%E -0.841%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 17:05
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 17:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:54
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.08%E -1.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.70%E -2.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:54
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 18:54
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 17:50
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:05
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.54%E -2.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.99%E -2.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.70%E -2.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 17:14
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:04
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.37%E -3.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:55
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 17:14
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -10.04%E -5.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.04%E -5.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -9.11%E -5.42%K -13.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-31 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-31 17:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-31 18:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%6.6%2026-07-31 19:25
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%10.2%2026-07-31 18:50