Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-08-01 23:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 5–4 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 46.93%2.13odd justa
EV -0.509%
Vantagem -0.240%
Kelly -0.455%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.74%46.96%46.87%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.042.042.1251.55%49.13%49.02%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.07%1.88odd justa
EV -0.228%
Vantagem -0.121%
Kelly -0.259%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.04%53.13%54.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8857.47%55.56%55.56%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 46.93%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 53.07%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.884. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.880, com valor esperado de -0.228%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.509%E -0.240%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:50
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.509%E -0.240%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.979%E -0.464%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.979%E -0.464%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 22:50
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.979%E -0.464%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 05:04
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 15:34
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.228%E -0.121%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 21:55
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.228%E -0.121%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 22:47
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 22:50
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 18:30
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 13:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 05:49
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 11:13
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 12:10
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 22:29
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 20:40
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.73%E -2.33%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:40
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:40
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:39
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:14
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:40
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:29
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:09
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 22:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:44
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.61%E -3.32%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 22:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 22:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:48
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 23:08
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.49%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.96%E -4.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-08-01 23:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-01 23:10
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-08-01 23:10
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-08-01 23:10
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-08-01 23:00
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.4%2026-08-01 23:10
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-08-01 23:10
BetOpenly◎2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-08-01 22:54