A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-05-16 23:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–1 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 42.44%2.36odd justa
EV +2.28%
Vantagem +0.947%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.49%42.40%42.48%43.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.142.232.232.4146.73%44.81%44.94%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 57.56%1.74odd justa
EV -0.998%
Vantagem -0.580%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.28%57.60%57.52%59.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.14%59.88%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +2.28%E +0.947%K +1.62%G +0.037%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV +2.28%E +0.947%K +1.62%G +0.037%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.01%E +0.424%K +0.731%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -0.265%E -0.113%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:05
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:05
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 23:09
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 23:09
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.998%E -0.580%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 22:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 14:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:01
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:45
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:08
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:55
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 22:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 02:24
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:01
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 14:10
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.06%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 22:55
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:45
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.33%E -3.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%-0.2%2026-05-16 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-16 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-16 23:05
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-16 07:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-16 07:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%1.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-05-16 23:10