مدرسة الاحتمالات

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

البداية: 2026-05-16 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Houston Astros 4–1 Texas Rangers

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Houston Astros (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.44%2.36السعر العادل
EV +2.28%
الأفضلية +0.947%
Kelly +1.62%
النمو +0.037%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.49%42.40%42.48%43.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.142.232.232.4146.73%44.81%44.94%41.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Texas Rangers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.56%1.74السعر العادل
EV -0.998%
الأفضلية -0.580%
Kelly -1.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.28%57.60%57.52%59.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.14%59.88%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +2.28%E +0.947%K +1.62%G +0.037%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV +2.28%E +0.947%K +1.62%G +0.037%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.01%E +0.424%K +0.731%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -0.265%E -0.113%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:05
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:05
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 23:09
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 23:09
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.998%E -0.580%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 22:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 14:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:01
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:45
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:08
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:55
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 22:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 02:24
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:01
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 14:10
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.06%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 22:55
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:45
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.33%E -3.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%-0.2%2026-05-16 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-16 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-16 23:05
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-16 07:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-16 07:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%1.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-05-16 23:10