La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-05-16 23:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–1 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV +2.28%
Ventaja +0.947%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.49%42.40%42.48%43.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.232.232.4146.73%44.81%44.94%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.56%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.998%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.28%57.60%57.52%59.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.14%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +2.28%E +0.947%K +1.62%G +0.037%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV +2.28%E +0.947%K +1.62%G +0.037%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +1.01%E +0.424%K +0.731%G +0.007%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 23:05
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -0.265%E -0.113%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:05
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:05
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.11%E -0.478%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 23:10
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 23:09
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:05
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 23:09
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 19:10
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.998%E -0.580%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 22:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:09
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 14:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 23:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:30
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:01
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.51%E -2.00%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.75%E -4.17%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -1.57%E -0.920%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:45
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.40%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:08
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.72%E -1.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 22:55
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 22:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 14:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 02:24
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 23:01
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 14:10
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.06%E -3.22%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 22:55
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:45
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.30%E -1.96%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 22:05
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:10
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.33%E -3.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.88%E -2.32%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.60%E -3.42%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -9.18%E -4.29%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%-0.2%2026-05-16 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-16 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-16 23:05
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-16 07:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-16 07:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%1.6%2026-05-16 23:10
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%1.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-05-16 23:10