La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-05-12 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 1–3 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 42.26%2.37quota equa
EV +0.159%
Vantaggio +0.067%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.03%42.31%42.07%43.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.252.3746.51%44.35%44.44%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.74%1.73quota equa
EV -0.689%
Vantaggio -0.401%
Kelly -0.957%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%57.69%57.93%58.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.16%59.88%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.159%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 23:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.263%E -0.112%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.263%E -0.112%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:19
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.686%E -0.292%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 23:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.686%E -0.292%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 23:44
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 23:44
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:54
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:04
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:38
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:39
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 23:18
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 22:19
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:39
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.64%E -1.60%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.689%E -0.401%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 22:44
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 23:29
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 23:29
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 22:54
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.27%E -0.741%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 00:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:54
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:14
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 00:04
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:15
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.60%E -2.99%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:39
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 00:08
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-05-12 00:04
Novig2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%0.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-11 23:44
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-12 00:04
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-05-12 00:04
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-05-12 00:04