L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 1–3 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 42.26%2.37cote équitable
EV +0.159%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.31%42.07%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.262.252.3746.51%44.35%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.74%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.689%
Avantage -0.401%
Kelly -0.957%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%57.69%57.93%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.16%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.159%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 23:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.263%E -0.112%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.263%E -0.112%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:19
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.686%E -0.292%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 23:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.686%E -0.292%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 23:44
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 23:44
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:54
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:04
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:38
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:39
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 23:18
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 22:19
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:39
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.64%E -1.60%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.689%E -0.401%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 22:44
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 23:29
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 23:29
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 22:54
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.27%E -0.741%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 00:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:54
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:14
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 00:04
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:15
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.60%E -2.99%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:39
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 00:08
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-05-12 00:04
Novig2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%0.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-11 23:44
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-12 00:04
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-05-12 00:04
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-05-12 00:04