La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-05-12 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 1–3 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 42.26%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.159%
Ventaja +0.067%
Kelly +0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.31%42.07%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3746.51%44.35%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 57.74%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.689%
Ventaja -0.401%
Kelly -0.957%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%57.69%57.93%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.16%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.159%E +0.067%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 23:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.263%E -0.112%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.263%E -0.112%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:19
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.686%E -0.292%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 23:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.686%E -0.292%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-11 23:44
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.11%E -0.474%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 23:44
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:54
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:04
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:34
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:38
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:39
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 23:18
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 00:04
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 22:19
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:39
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.64%E -1.60%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.689%E -0.401%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-11 22:44
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 23:29
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 23:29
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-11 22:54
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.27%E -0.741%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 00:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:54
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:14
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 00:04
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -1.84%E -1.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:34
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 22:15
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.60%E -2.99%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:39
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:35
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.03%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 00:08
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-05-12 00:04
Novig2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%0.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-05-12 00:04
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-11 23:44
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-12 00:04
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-05-12 00:04
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-05-12 00:04