Language:English
Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%53.41%53.32%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.80%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.138%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.59%46.68%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.87%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 53.34%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 46.66%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.143. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.140, with an expected value of -0.157%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.31%E -0.710%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.31%E -0.710%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.56%E -0.738%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 19:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.157%E -0.073%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 03:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 05:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.56%E -4.36%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.10% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.90% | -0.4% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |