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Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Houston Astros (Local)
Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%53.41%53.32%54.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.80%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.157%
Ventaja -0.073%
Kelly -0.138%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.33%46.59%46.68%48.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.87%48.78%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 53.34%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 46.66%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.143. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.140, con un valor esperado de -0.157%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.31%E -0.710%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.31%E -0.710%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.02%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.56%E -0.738%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 19:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.02%E -0.964%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.45%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 19:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.157%E -0.073%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 03:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 05:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 20:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.82%E -2.36%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.58%E -3.15%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.18%E -4.13%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.56%E -4.36%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.10% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.90% | -0.4% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |