默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 00:11 UTC

最终结果: Houston Astros 10–7 Seattle Mariners

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros (主队)

预测 53.12%1.88公平赔率
EV -1.20%
优势 -0.645%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.86

博彩公司预测分布
52.11%53.11%53.08%54.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.801.801.8657.80%55.66%55.56%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Seattle Mariners (客队)

预测 46.88%2.13公平赔率
EV -0.142%
优势 -0.067%
Kelly -0.126%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
45.91%46.89%46.92%47.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.042.042.1351.28%49.00%49.02%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Houston Astros (主队):53.12%;Seattle Mariners (客队):46.88%。 对于“Seattle Mariners (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.133。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.130,期望值为-0.142%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.20%E -0.645%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.73%E -0.936%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.49%E -1.20%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -2.26%E -1.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.08%E -0.512%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-14 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.79%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.55%E -0.737%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 20:54
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.79%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.55%E -0.737%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.79%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.79%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.79%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.79%E -1.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.32%E -1.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.611%E -0.288%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 20:54
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.32%E -1.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.08%E -0.512%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.32%E -1.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 21:39
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.142%E -0.067%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.611%E -0.288%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.611%E -0.288%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:54
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.55%E -0.737%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:04
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.86%E -2.13%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 23:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 22:13
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 20:59
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 21:24
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 20:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 05:44
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:59
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 21:04
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 21:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 21:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 21:04
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 21:04
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.36%E -2.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:24
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.77%E -2.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 20:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 00:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.39%E -2.44%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:24
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.92%E -2.75%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.30%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 21:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.45%E -3.06%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.17%E -3.62%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 00:09
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.42%E -1.66%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.98%E -3.38%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 21:04
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 21:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 21:44
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 23:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.24%E -3.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 23:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.04%E -4.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.64%E -3.88%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 23:43
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.11%E -4.69%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.58%E -4.40%K -9.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 21:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-08-15 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-15 00:10
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-08-15 00:10
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-15 00:05
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-14 21:49
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-15 00:09
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-08-15 00:10
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-08-15 00:10