Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-15 00:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 54.19%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.751%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.63%54.28%54.18%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.761.751.8259.52%56.95%57.14%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 45.81%2.18momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.705%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%45.72%45.82%46.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.092.102.1551.02%47.93%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Astros (Local): 54.19%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 45.81%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.85. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.82, con un valor esperado de -1.37%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.37%E -0.751%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 00:54
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 19:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 20:29
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.97%E -0.923%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 00:14
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 02:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.26%E -2.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 22:34
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 19:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:39
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.26%E -2.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:34
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 19:14
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 19:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.64%E -2.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 00:39
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 01:43
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:44
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 00:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 19:09
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.56%E -3.21%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 22:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.70%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.70%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 19:44
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 00:14
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:14
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -9.30%E -4.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 00:14
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.56%E -3.21%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.22%E -5.21%K -10.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-14 02:04
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-08-14 02:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-14 02:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-14 02:10
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%5.7%2026-08-14 02:39
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%9.6%2026-08-14 00:24

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