Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-15 00:11 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 54.19%1.85odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.751%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.63%54.28%54.18%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.761.751.8259.52%56.95%57.14%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 45.81%2.18odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.705%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%45.72%45.82%46.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.092.102.1551.02%47.93%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Astros (Local): 54.19%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 45.81%. Para Houston Astros (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.85. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.82, com valor esperado de -1.37%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.37%E -0.751%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 00:54
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 19:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 20:29
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.97%E -0.923%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.43%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.45%E -1.36%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 00:14
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.99%E -1.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 02:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.26%E -2.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 22:34
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 19:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 22:39
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.08%E -2.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.26%E -2.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 19:34
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 19:14
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 19:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.64%E -2.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 00:39
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.62%E -2.62%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 21:09
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 01:43
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:44
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.72%E -2.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 00:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 19:09
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.16%E -2.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.56%E -3.21%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 22:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.70%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.52%E -0.705%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.70%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 19:44
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.70%E -3.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.10%E -2.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 00:14
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:14
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.24%E -3.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.81%E -1.81%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.18%E -2.50%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -9.30%E -4.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 00:14
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -6.56%E -3.21%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.95%E -5.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.22%E -5.21%K -10.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 19:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-14 02:04
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-08-14 02:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-14 02:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-14 02:10
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%5.7%2026-08-14 02:39
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%9.6%2026-08-14 00:24

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