Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.01
assuming max odds 1.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 49.16%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 50.84%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.19%E -0.592%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.49%E -4.71%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.17%E -1.09%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.88%E -0.973%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.37%E -0.706%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.37%E -0.706%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.37%E -0.706%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.91%E -2.07%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 01:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 08:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 20:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.45%E -3.51%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 04:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 04:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 04:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.60%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.60%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 00:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.45%E -3.51%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 23:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.06%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.88%E -0.973%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 21:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-07-01 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 23:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.1% | 2026-07-01 00:10 |