A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-07-01 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 6–4 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 49.16%2.03odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.592%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.28%49.15%51.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.951.952.0154.05%51.41%51.28%49.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 50.84%1.97odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.706%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.72%50.85%52.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.40%53.48%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.19%E -0.592%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 00:09
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:59
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:59
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 23:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.68%E -0.841%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.49%E -4.71%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 23:29
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.17%E -1.09%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.88%E -0.973%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 22:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.16%E -1.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 00:10
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.37%E -0.706%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 00:00
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.37%E -0.706%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.37%E -0.706%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 23:59
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.91%E -2.07%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:00
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.65%E -1.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 22:59
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 20:49
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 11:19
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 01:29
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 08:19
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 11:20
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 20:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 11:19
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.14%E -2.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 20:49
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:20
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 11:19
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.63%E -2.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 18:40
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 20:49
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 20:50
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:49
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.12%E -2.65%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:49
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:49
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:49
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.61%E -2.92%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.45%E -3.51%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 00:09
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 20:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 11:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 20:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 04:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 04:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 04:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.11%E -3.20%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:09
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.60%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 00:00
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.60%E -3.47%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 00:08
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -8.07%E -4.32%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.45%E -3.51%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 23:48
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.06%E -4.89%K -10.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.88%E -0.973%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 21:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-07-01 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-06-30 23:40
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%1.0%2026-07-01 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-01 00:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-01 00:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-07-01 00:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-06-30 23:50
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.1%2026-06-30 23:59
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-07-01 00:10