The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

2026-07-21 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 54.12%1.85fair odd
EV +0.129%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%54.03%54.20%55.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8559%57%57%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.97%45.97%45.80%47.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1550%48%48%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.129%E +0.070%K +0.151%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.12%E -1.97%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-20 13:35
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -0.412%E -0.224%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -4.12%E -1.97%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 13:55
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.04%E -1.12%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.82%E -0.853%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 13:50
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.37%E -0.635%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 12:59
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.82%E -0.853%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 13:00
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 13:45
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.58%E -1.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.33%E -3.63%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 13:50
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.12%E -1.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.33%E -3.63%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:25
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.66%E -2.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.12%E -1.97%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.66%E -2.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 13:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 09:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 09:25
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 11:34
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 12:15
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:35
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:35
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:35
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:35
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 08:25
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:34
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.20%E -2.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 04:40
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.12%E -1.97%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 12:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 12:25
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 12:25
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 12:15
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 09:05
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.04%E -2.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 09:05
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 13:35
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.74%E -2.69%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 12:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 12:19
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 04:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 12:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 09:05
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:20
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.28%E -3.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 12:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 04:45
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.82%E -3.35%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.25%E -4.12%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 13:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 05:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 05:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 05:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 00:45
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 12:44
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 12:45
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:35
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 12:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:35
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 12:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.37%E -3.68%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.91%E -4.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.66%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 04:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.99%E -4.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.58%E -2.20%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-20 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-20 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-20 11:00
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-20 13:39
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-20 13:55
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%0.7%2026-07-20 13:55
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-20 08:10
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-07-20 12:45
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-07-20 12:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-20 12:10