La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-07-21 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 8–5 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 53.00%1.89quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.68%52.97%53.03%54.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.791.801.8557.47%55.89%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.00%2.13quota equa
EV -0.359%
Vantaggio -0.169%
Kelly -0.320%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.79%47.03%46.97%49.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.032.042.1254.05%49.37%48.90%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.24%E -1.08%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-20 21:55
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.95%E -1.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-20 21:55
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.30%E -0.619%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 23:45
Everygame1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.77%E -0.846%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-20 21:07
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.48%E -1.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.88%E -4.02%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 00:10
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.359%E -0.169%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-20 22:25
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.77%E -0.846%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-20 21:10
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-20 21:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.01%E -1.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.53%E -2.75%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.54%E -1.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.07%E -2.25%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 22:20
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 20:30
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 14:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 14:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 23:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 21:10
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 20:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 21:15
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:35
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 21:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 14:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 00:00
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:58
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -4.60%E -2.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -13.05%E -7.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 00:10
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:35
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 00:09
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.87%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:05
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 00:10
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.19%E -3.50%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:35
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.50%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 22:20
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.19%E -3.50%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.19%E -3.50%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.19%E -3.50%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.94%E -3.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 00:10
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.19%E -3.50%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.41%E -3.76%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 00:10
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 00:10
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.88%E -4.02%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 23:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 23:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-20 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.41%E -3.76%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 23:43
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 00:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 00:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 00:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -10.70%E -5.63%K -11.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%0.1%2026-07-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-07-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-07-21 00:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-20 15:35
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-21 00:05
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.8%2026-07-20 23:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-21 00:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-21 00:10
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-07-21 00:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%11.0%2026-07-21 00:10