Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 00:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 60.32%1.66fair odd
EV +6.77%
Edge +3.82%
Kelly +8.79%
Growth +0.595%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%59.70%60.25%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.571.571.77100.00%63.71%63.69%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 39.68%2.52fair odd
EV -0.803%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.65%40.30%39.75%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.002.362.402.50100.00%42.40%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 60.32%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 39.68%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +6.77%E +3.82%K +8.79%G +0.595%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -17.86%E -8.63%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV +6.17%E +3.50%K +8.11%G +0.500%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV +3.15%E +1.84%K +4.44%G +0.140%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 00:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-27 21:20
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.803%E -0.321%K -0.535%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.803%E -0.321%K -0.535%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.20%E -0.482%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.20%E -0.482%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 21:05
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.39%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 21:05
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:45
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 19:49
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:15
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 20:45
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 21:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:14
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:12
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 20:04
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:14
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:15
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:15
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.39%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 21:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.18%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 00:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-28 00:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-28 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -39.68%E -39.68%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -60.32%E -60.32%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 00:15
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-28 00:15
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-03-28 00:15
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-28 00:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 29.59%42.0%2026-03-28 00:15