L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 00:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 60.32%1.66cote équitable
EV +6.77%
Avantage +3.82%
Kelly +8.79%
Croissance +0.595%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%59.70%60.25%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.571.571.77100.00%63.71%63.69%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.68%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.803%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.535%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.65%40.30%39.75%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.002.362.402.50100.00%42.40%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +6.77%E +3.82%K +8.79%G +0.595%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -17.86%E -8.63%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV +6.17%E +3.50%K +8.11%G +0.500%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 00:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV +3.15%E +1.84%K +4.44%G +0.140%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 00:15
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.68%E -1.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.39%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-27 21:20
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.803%E -0.321%K -0.535%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 21:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.803%E -0.321%K -0.535%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.20%E -0.482%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 21:05
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.20%E -0.482%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 21:05
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.39%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 21:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:45
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 20:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:15
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 20:00
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 19:49
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:15
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:15
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 19:55
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:20
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 20:45
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.96%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:15
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:14
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:12
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 22:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 23:59
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 20:04
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 00:14
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.79%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:15
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:15
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:15
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:15
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.39%E -0.971%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 21:19
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 23:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 00:05
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.18%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 00:15
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 00:15
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -7.55%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-28 00:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-28 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -39.68%E -39.68%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -60.32%E -60.32%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-28 00:15
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-28 00:15
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-28 00:15
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-03-28 00:15
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-28 00:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 29.59%42.0%2026-03-28 00:15