Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 57.23%1.75fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.45%57.35%57.20%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.94%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 42.77%2.34fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%42.65%42.80%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.222.3847.62%44.88%45.05%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 57.23%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 42.77%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.80%E +0.756%K +1.30%G +0.023%5.7%2026-03-27 23:15
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-28 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 19:15
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.05%E -0.895%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-28 00:35
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.05%E -0.895%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 00:50
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.48%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:45
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 02:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:55
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.19%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:20
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 20:50
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:45
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 21:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.01%E -5.67%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.01%E -5.67%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-03-28 01:36
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-03-28 03:10