La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-03-28 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 57.23%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.45%57.35%57.20%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.94%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 42.77%2.34momio equitativo
EV +1.80%
Ventaja +0.756%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%42.65%42.80%43.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.222.3847.62%44.88%45.05%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +1.80%E +0.756%K +1.30%G +0.023%5.7%2026-03-27 23:15
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:59
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:59
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-28 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 19:15
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.05%E -0.895%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-28 00:35
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.05%E -0.895%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 00:50
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.48%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 02:45
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:24
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 02:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 18:49
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:19
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:55
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.19%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:35
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.62%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 21:20
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 18:50
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 20:50
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 18:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 00:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 20:50
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:45
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 18:45
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 21:08
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.01%E -5.67%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.01%E -5.67%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 23:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-03-28 01:36
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-03-28 03:10