Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 9–3 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.28%53.25%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.791.8558.82%55.97%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV +0.098%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.086%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.72%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.74%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 53.23%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 46.77%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.138. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.140, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.098%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV +0.098%E +0.046%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-19 23:49
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.369%E -0.173%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-19 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.837%E -0.395%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.837%E -0.395%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:59
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.837%E -0.395%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:49
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.13%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.30%E -0.618%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 00:09
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-19 22:59
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 23:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.53%E -0.829%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-20 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 22:59
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 22:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 21:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 23:19
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 12:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 12:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:19
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 12:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 12:49
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 19:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:10
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.05%E -2.49%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 20:39
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 16:20
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 08:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 18:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 22:19
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 00:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.85%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 23:58
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.32%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.68%-0.5%2026-06-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-20 00:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-19 23:59
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-06-20 00:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-06-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-06-20 00:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-06-20 00:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-19 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-06-20 00:10