La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-06-20 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 9–3 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 53.23%1.88quota equa
EV -1.53%
Vantaggio -0.829%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.28%53.25%55.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.791.791.8558.82%55.97%55.87%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.77%2.14quota equa
EV +0.098%
Vantaggio +0.046%
Kelly +0.086%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.74%46.72%46.75%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.74%48.78%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV +0.098%E +0.046%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-19 23:49
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.369%E -0.173%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-19 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.837%E -0.395%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-20 00:00
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.837%E -0.395%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:59
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.837%E -0.395%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:49
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.13%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.30%E -0.618%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-20 00:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 15:40
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-19 22:59
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 23:48
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 21:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.77%E -0.844%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 23:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.53%E -0.829%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-20 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.71%E -1.30%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 22:59
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:00
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 22:59
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.64%E -1.77%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-20 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:19
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 22:50
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 21:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 23:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 12:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 12:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:19
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 12:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 00:20
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 12:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 12:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 19:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 19:10
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.66%E -2.02%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 23:49
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 23:59
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 15:30
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.58%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 23:00
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.05%E -2.49%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 16:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 23:59
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 20:39
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 23:59
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 16:20
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 08:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 18:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 00:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 23:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.79%E -3.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 22:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 00:08
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.26%E -2.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.85%E -3.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 23:58
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.19%E -2.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 21:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.32%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.68%-0.5%2026-06-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-20 00:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-19 23:59
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-06-20 00:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-06-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-06-20 00:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-06-20 00:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-19 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-06-20 00:10