Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 2.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 59.61%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 40.39%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +1.37%E +0.548%K +0.910%G +0.013% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.971%E +0.388%K +0.647%G +0.006% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.971%E +0.388%K +0.647%G +0.006% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.241%E -0.098%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.241%E -0.098%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 18:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.645%E -0.262%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.45%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -1.45%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.86%E -0.764%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.86%E -0.764%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 11:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.60%E -4.90%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.79%E -5.75%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.68%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.49%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.30%E -2.72%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.30%E -2.72%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 17:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -8.32%E -3.66%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.60%E -4.90%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -9.53%E -4.25%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 17:43 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |