Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-09-03 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 6–2 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 59.61%1.68odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.06%59.66%59.49%61.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.601.6465.36%62.45%62.50%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 40.39%2.48odd justa
EV +1.37%
Vantagem +0.548%
Kelly +0.910%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.71%40.34%40.51%41.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.242.362.352.5144.64%42.35%42.55%39.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 59.61%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 40.39%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.48. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.51, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.37%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +1.37%E +0.548%K +0.910%G +0.013%2.0%2026-09-03 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.971%E +0.388%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.5%2026-09-03 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV +0.971%E +0.388%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.5%2026-09-03 18:10
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.241%E -0.098%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-03 17:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.241%E -0.098%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 18:08
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -0.645%E -0.262%K -0.442%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 18:09
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -1.45%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -7.01%E -4.49%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -1.45%E -0.595%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:10
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.86%E -0.764%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 17:45
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.86%E -0.764%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 11:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 18:04
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.60%E -4.90%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.79%E -5.75%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.68%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 17:45
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 17:45
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:14
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:14
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:14
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:14
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 17:15
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.49%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:05
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.30%E -2.72%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.30%E -2.72%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 16:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:45
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.24%E -1.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -8.32%E -3.66%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 17:58
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 17:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.60%E -4.90%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -9.53%E -4.25%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 17:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-09-03 18:09
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-03 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-03 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-03 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-09-03 18:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-03 17:00
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-03 17:45
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-09-03 18:10
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-09-03 18:10
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-09-03 18:10