Language:English
Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 52.46%1.91fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%52.43%52.47%53.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.821.831.8759.17%55.00%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 47.54%2.10fair odd
EV +0.785%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.701%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.19%47.57%47.53%49.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.002.002.1254.35%50.03%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 52.46%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 47.54%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.785%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +0.785%E +0.370%K +0.701%G +0.006% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.12%E -0.537%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.12%E -0.537%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.12%E -0.537%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.42%E -1.30%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.59%E -0.769%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.59%E -0.769%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.59%E -0.769%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.90%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.54%E -1.24%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-29 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.54%E -1.24%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.54%E -1.24%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 10:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.62%E -3.72%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.54%E -1.24%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.02%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.02%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.02%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 03:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.49%E -1.72%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.10%E -3.41%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.10%E -3.41%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.52%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 03:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 21:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.24%E -5.34%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.92%E -2.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.87%E -2.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.87%E -2.96%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.35%E -3.22%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.35%E -3.22%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.35%E -3.22%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.90%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.95%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.00%E -2.18%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 20:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 20:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.90%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.77%E -4.01%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.90%E -1.02%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.77%E -4.01%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.67%E -4.36%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.25%E -4.27%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.72%E -4.54%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -11.34%E -6.71%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -8.72%E -4.54%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-29 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.57%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.67%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 21:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.77%E -5.68%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.31%EV -12.53%E -6.81%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-28 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21% | 1.6% | 2026-09-29 20:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 21:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |