Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Chicago White Sox

2026-09-29 21:00 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 56.12%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.01%56.22%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.711.7662.50%58.57%58.48%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 43.88%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.839%
Ventaja -0.371%
Kelly -0.666%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%43.99%43.78%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.67%46.51%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Astros (Local): 56.12%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 43.88%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.26, con un valor esperado de -0.839%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -1.22%E -0.695%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 00:00
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -7.42%E -3.52%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-28 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-28 02:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-28 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 00:00
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 00:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.35%E -1.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.98%E -3.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 00:00
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.839%E -0.371%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-28 01:19
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 00:00
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.35%E -1.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-28 02:08
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 02:14
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-28 00:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-28 01:39
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 01:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 02:00
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-28 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.74%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-28 00:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 00:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-28 00:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -1.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 22:35
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 01:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-28 01:55
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-28 01:54
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 01:04
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.49%E -5.14%K -10.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-28 00:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 23:18
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-28 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-28 00:45
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-28 01:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-28 01:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.20%E -6.38%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.25%E -6.12%K -12.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-28 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 57.07%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.93%-0.4%2026-09-28 02:34
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%2.1%2026-09-28 02:40
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.02%10.3%2026-09-28 01:05