A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-04-01 18:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 43.58%2.29odd justa
EV +0.239%
Vantagem +0.104%
Kelly +0.184%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.54%43.57%44.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.212.202.3046.51%45.34%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 56.42%1.77odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.725%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%56.46%56.43%58.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.22%59.52%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.239%E +0.104%K +0.184%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 18:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.239%E +0.104%K +0.184%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 04:50
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.50%E -0.666%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-01 18:00
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.50%E -0.666%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.94%E -0.862%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.40%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:59
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.94%E -0.862%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:46
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-01 17:49
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.27%E -0.725%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 18:05
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:24
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.35%E -3.82%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 18:05
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.27%E -0.725%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 18:04
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:50
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:54
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:54
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 18:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:48
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.65%E -2.75%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:50
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.65%E -2.75%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 17:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.91%E -4.19%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 17:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 15:44
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.56%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:50
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:50
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:54
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:54
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.35%E -3.82%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-01 18:00
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-01 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-01 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-01 18:05
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-04-01 18:05
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 18:05
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-01 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 18:05
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 18:05
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-04-01 18:05