L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 18:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 43.58%2.29cote équitable
EV +0.239%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.184%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.54%43.57%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.212.202.3046.51%45.34%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.42%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.725%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%56.46%56.43%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.22%59.52%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.239%E +0.104%K +0.184%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 18:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.239%E +0.104%K +0.184%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 04:50
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.50%E -0.666%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-01 18:00
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.50%E -0.666%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 17:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.94%E -0.862%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.40%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 17:59
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.94%E -0.862%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:46
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-01 17:49
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.27%E -0.725%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 18:05
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:24
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:25
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.35%E -3.82%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 18:05
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.27%E -0.725%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 18:04
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:50
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:54
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 17:54
MyBookie.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 18:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 17:48
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.65%E -2.75%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:50
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.65%E -2.75%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 17:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 17:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:25
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.91%E -4.19%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 17:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 15:44
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.56%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:50
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:50
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 17:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:54
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 17:54
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:50
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 17:54
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:54
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.35%E -3.82%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-01 18:00
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-01 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-01 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-01 18:05
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-04-01 18:05
ProphetX2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-01 18:05
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-04-01 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-04-01 18:05
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-01 18:05
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-04-01 18:05