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Houston Astros v Boston Red Sox
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Houston Astros (Local)
Predicción 43.58%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.239%
Ventaja +0.104%
Kelly +0.184%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.54%43.57%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.212.202.3046.51%45.34%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boston Red Sox (Visitante)
Predicción 56.42%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.725%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%56.46%56.43%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.22%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 43.58%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 56.42%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.239%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.239%E +0.104%K +0.184%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.239%E +0.104%K +0.184%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 04:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.50%E -0.666%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -1.50%E -0.666%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.94%E -0.862%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.40%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.94%E -0.862%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.27%E -0.725%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.81%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.35%E -3.82%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.27%E -0.725%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.25%E -1.46%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 17:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.65%E -2.75%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.65%E -2.75%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.91%E -4.19%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.12%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.60%E -5.31%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.56%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.53%E -2.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.99%E -2.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.22%E -3.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.78%E -3.46%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.30%E -2.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.35%E -3.82%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-04-01 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 18:05 |