Language:English
Houston Astros v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 56.48%1.77fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.46%56.52%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.25%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 43.52%2.30fair odd
EV -0.351%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.54%43.48%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2947.62%45.42%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 56.48%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 43.52%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -0.351%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.72%E -0.986%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.351%E -0.153%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-31 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-31 23:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18% | 1.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |