Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-04-01 00:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 56.48%1.77odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.658%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.56%56.46%56.52%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.681.7561.73%59.25%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 43.52%2.30odd justa
EV -0.351%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.272%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.54%43.48%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.202.202.2947.62%45.42%45.45%43.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 56.48%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 43.52%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.30. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.29, com valor esperado de -0.351%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 00:05
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.15%E -0.658%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 00:04
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.72%E -0.986%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.351%E -0.153%K -0.272%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-01 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-01 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:04
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.09%E -0.929%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 00:04
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-31 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 00:09
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.11%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 00:09
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.40%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-31 23:58
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-01 00:05
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-04-01 00:05
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%1.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-01 00:09