The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-19 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.10%52.22%52.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9057%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.31%47.90%47.78%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.0653%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.945%E -0.497%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.05%E -4.77%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:40
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.47%E -0.776%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 21:05
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.88%E -0.915%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 21:25
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.10%E -4.22%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:05
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.88%E -0.915%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 17:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.88%E -0.915%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 17:35
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.51%E -1.34%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 17:35
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.40%E -0.678%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 21:25
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.55%E -1.92%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:38
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.07%E -2.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:15
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:40
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:45
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:13
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.59%E -2.51%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:25
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:25
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.75%E -2.39%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.23%E -2.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.12%E -2.81%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.18%E -3.15%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:39
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:35
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.27%E -2.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:24
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:39
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:38
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.66%E -3.42%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.72%E -4.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.58%E -4.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.29%E -5.34%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.01%E -5.33%K -11.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-07-18 21:20
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 18:05
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-18 17:35
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-07-18 21:30
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%8.2%2026-07-18 21:30