Language:English
Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.15%53.05%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.801.8657.47%55.72%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV +0.936%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.814%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%46.85%46.95%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.022.1551.28%49.13%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 53.05%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 46.95%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.936%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.936%E +0.435%K +0.814%G +0.008% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.936%E +0.435%K +0.814%G +0.008% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 18:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.88%E -0.900%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-19 18:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.32%E -0.710%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-19 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-19 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.70%E -2.31%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.64%E -2.80%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 18:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 04:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 53.66% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 46.34% | -1.9% | 2026-07-19 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 0.1% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-19 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-19 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-07-19 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 2.9% | 2026-07-19 18:10 |