L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 18:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 2–5 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 53.05%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.15%53.05%54.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.791.801.8657.47%55.72%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.95%2.13cote équitable
EV +0.936%
Avantage +0.435%
Kelly +0.814%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%46.85%46.95%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.022.1551.28%49.13%49.50%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.936%E +0.435%K +0.814%G +0.008%2.1%2026-07-19 18:09
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.936%E +0.435%K +0.814%G +0.008%2.1%2026-07-19 18:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-19 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 18:10
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 18:10
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:07
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.672%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 18:10
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.88%E -0.900%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-19 18:05
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 18:10
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.32%E -0.710%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 17:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 18:05
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 18:09
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 17:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 17:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:45
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:45
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 17:15
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.23%E -2.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 16:55
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.70%E -2.31%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:45
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:45
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:45
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:45
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 17:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:45
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:45
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 18:10
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.64%E -2.80%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 18:04
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 16:15
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 04:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.11%E -3.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 18:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-19 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 17:45
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 16:45
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.10%E -3.44%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 18:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 17:59
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 53.66%2.20I 45.45%NM 46.34%-1.9%2026-07-19 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%0.1%2026-07-19 18:10
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-19 18:05
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-19 17:55
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-19 16:05
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-19 15:05
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-07-19 18:10
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-07-19 18:10